Trump's "no dust, no dollars" ultimatum demands Iran surrender uranium before any deal. Iran uranium surrender by Dec 2026 at 51.5% YES, June 2026 at 25.5%.

Trump says Iran deal isn't fully negotiated yet, sending near-term odds crashing. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 18.5% YES, ...

Iran accused Washington of retreating on key understandings hours after Trump claimed a deal was "largely negotiated." ...

Crude oil all-time-high prediction markets have moved lower across all timeframes. The May 31 sub-market sits at 1.4% YES; December 31 has declined to 35.5% YES, down from 44% seven days ago. ## Key ...

US officials say no Iran deal this weekend, language finalization extended by days. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 16.5% YES; ...

US official confirms no Iran deal signed today, with talks still progressing. May 24 deal at 6.5% YES, May 25 at 17.5%, May ...

Rubio condemns Iran's threats against commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz as crypto scammers demand Bitcoin and USDT for ...

The market for Bitcoin being above $68,000 on May 28 is currently pricing at 99% YES. Prices have increased from 98% YES in ...

Russia launched up to 600 drones and 90 missiles at Kyiv, including the Oreshnik hypersonic missile. Here's what the ...

GOP senators Cruz, Graham, and Wicker slam Trump's Iran ceasefire deal as Bitcoin tops $78K on de-escalation hopes. Here's ...

Senior CFTC officials were suspended after flagging concerns about Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Gemini, all with alleged Trump ...

US officials say Iran agreed in principle to dispose of enriched uranium stockpile. Surrender by Dec 31, 2026 at 50.5% YES; ...